Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.636388 1.971682 2.379159 2.917657 3.621003 4.523373 5.793619e+00
2024-12-15 1.195101 1.599714 2.165377 3.042817 4.426118 6.631278 1.066585e+01
2024-12-22 0.909296 1.303042 1.907416 2.957131 4.863985 8.491638 1.689779e+01
2024-12-29 0.769262 1.165099 1.821623 3.079203 5.679164 11.558287 2.913482e+01
2025-01-05 0.659025 1.041384 1.715069 3.111868 6.334162 14.850665 4.769182e+01
2025-01-12 0.563479 0.919213 1.575510 3.023354 6.675174 17.714543 7.192342e+01
2025-01-19 0.493858 0.828264 1.470711 2.969495 7.077481 21.243941 1.115994e+02
2025-01-26 0.462801 0.801774 1.485038 3.191143 8.383922 29.739288 2.323416e+02
2025-02-02 0.430954 0.767449 1.474295 3.348264 9.626706 40.308107 5.004449e+02
2025-02-09 0.393032 0.714426 1.410852 3.344230 10.335235 49.856941 9.880027e+02
2025-02-16 0.355814 0.657227 1.326534 3.254433 10.677027 58.282883 1.868649e+03
2025-02-23 0.332220 0.625397 1.295684 3.314634 11.719204 75.361107 5.304053e+03
2025-03-02 0.315565 0.606939 1.295672 3.480992 13.474725 107.284945 3.234140e+04
2025-03-09 0.294567 0.576013 1.258746 3.516206 14.665712 141.203661 3.965867e+05
2025-03-16 0.269401 0.532397 1.181073 3.384235 14.838501 163.552547 1.594016e+07
2025-03-23 0.257223 0.517324 1.176946 3.521508 16.850302 239.411427 NaN
2025-03-30 0.242756 0.494958 1.148681 3.558251 18.303768 327.113444 NaN
2025-04-06 0.225370 0.463554 1.089694 3.452878 18.642792 392.771089 NaN
2025-04-13 0.211006 0.438046 1.043860 3.389018 19.293721 492.340466 NaN
2025-04-20 0.206825 0.437285 1.070743 3.651607 23.223679 925.977031 NaN
2025-04-27 0.200658 0.430738 1.079055 3.838289 26.945531 1707.180163 NaN
2025-05-04 0.190570 0.412945 1.049328 3.833488 28.706928 2569.077876 NaN
2025-05-11 0.179201 0.390708 1.002180 3.726745 29.157341 3377.655545 NaN